Our economists, statisticians, and data scientists apply a range of technical tools in our analyses
We provide expertise in:
- Econometrics & statistics
- Machine learning
- Structural modeling
- Experiments
- Game theory
- Simulation
- Optimization
IDA’s Finite-Interval Forecasting Engine (FIFE) and Retention Prediction Model (RPM)
FIFE provides a suite of machine learning models for discrete-time survival analysis and multivariate time series forecasting.
RPM is a military retention application of FIFE for producing person-level retention forecasts.
RPM has been cited in Congressional testimony, Forbes, and other venues.
FIFE is available on:
Research Spotlight: IDA evaluated the impact of border patrol sanctions on illegal border crossings
Exploiting random variation in the rollout of sanctions between 2008 to 2012, we estimate that sanctions can account for 28 to 44 percent of the observed decline in recidivism in apprehensions over that time period.
See our published results in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.