Russia's Selling, But Who's Buying? A Framework for Assessing Vulnerability to Russian PMCs in Africa

May, 2024
IDA document: 3002388
FFRDC: Systems and Analyses Center
Type: Documents
Division: Global Dynamics and Intelligence Division
Authors:
Authors
Sarah A. Daly, Stephanie M. Burchard, Linda S. Bishai See more authors
This report provides a preliminary analysis of the factors that might make an African government more receptive to overtures from a Russian private military company (PMC). Using qualitative case studies, IDA identified characteristics associated with a state being attractive and receptive to Russian PMC intervention and applied a proposed framework for identifying countries that could solicit or accept Russian PMCs in the future. Tentative findings suggest that countries falling into an at-risk category include Cameroon, Chad, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Somalia and South Sudan.