Prepare to be Wrong: Assessing and Designing for Adaptability, Flexibility, and Responsiveness

April, 2013
IDA document: P-5005
FFRDC: Systems and Analyses Center
Type: Documents
Division: Cost Analysis and Research Division
Preshant R. Patel, Michael P. Fischerkeller See more authors
Future operational and fiscal uncertainty is forcing difficult investment decisions by senior defense officials. History tells us that forecasts regarding uncertain futures are frequently wrong, often resulting in choices that have severe consequences. In order to avoid such consequences, the Department of Defense must prepare to be wrong.