The qualitative data documented in this report were collected during IDA’s field research in Luanda and Cabinda, from November 3 to 13, 2012. IDA assessed the themes presented here to be significant observations that provide insight into the relationship between oil production and political stability in Angola, and possibly transferable to other African oil producers.
Broadly speaking, IDA defines political stability as encompassing political longevity (the duration of a leader’s power) and challenges posed to the regime or, conversely, the absence of significant social upheaval. For the purpose of this research, however, IDA has isolated the first component of this definition to frame its findings. Political longevity (of the dos Santos regime), therefore, is the main dependent variable examined although references are made to political stability where appropriate. The purpose of using such a narrow definition is to provide more detailed insight into the factors that could affect the duration of time a leader holds power. This is valuable information for the USG to consider when weighing policy options, planning scenarios, and other interventions in a foreign country.