2013 Review on the Extension of the AMedP8C Methodology to New Agents Materials and Conditions

June, 2014
IDA document: D-4802
FFRDC: Systems and Analyses Center
Type: Documents
Division: Strategy, Forces and Resources Division
In 2009, the Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA) produced the final draft of a North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) guide documenting a methodology to estimate casualties from chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) weapons. That document, Allied Medical Publication 8 (C): NATO Planning Guide for the Estimation of CBRN Casualties, (AMedP-8(C)), officially promulgated in March 2011, included the parameters to estimate casualties caused by three chemical agents, five biological agents, seven radioisotopes, nuclear fallout, and prompt nuclear effects. Each year since 2009, IDA has published an annual review that extends this methodology to new agents, materials, and conditions.

As IDA has implemented recommendations from these annual reviews, the scope of the AMedP-8(C) methodology has expanded, and further enhancements are expected as new information is identified each year. The objective of this document, the 2013 review, is to provide a framework to assess the relative costs and benefits of modifications to the AMedP-8(C) methodology to inform the prioritization of future efforts.